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Nandram Discusses Bayesian Statistics at DLSU

De La Salle University once again exposed its mathematics and statistics department to a wider world today at the Ariston Estrada lecture room, with a lecture by Dr. Balgobin Nandram, Professor of Statistics at the Worcester Polytechnic Institute in Massachusetts.

Undergraduates taking up Mathematics and Statistics, along with graduates and faculty, attended his workshop on Bayesian Statistics and Small Area Estimation. After a short introduction by faculty member Shirley Ocampo, Dr. Nandram proceeded to his lecture, showing slides in his own handwriting, scanned fresh off a notebook. “It is an honor,” Ocampo said. “This visit from Dr. Nandram is timely,” as it coincides with the university offering MS Statistical Science for the first time, and the opening of the new Statistics Laboratory.

He introduced the basics of Bayesian Statistics, then followed with four simple examples, starting with a Normal Mean Data Model, then a Beta-Binary, an example on Non-response and Poisson-Gamma. His example on Non-response made use of data from his class back in Worcester, with the survey question “Are you from Masachusetts?” Out of his 103 students, he had 80 responses, and 60 of them said ‘yes’. He then continued to illustrate the use of Bayesian statistics in taking consideration the absence of the 23 other responses. He compared the Pattern Mixture Model with the Selection Model.

His workshop ended with the discussion on the Hierarchical Model, and will continue to expound further on this with the Gibbs Sampler during the second part of the workshop, at the Ariston Estrada Lecture Hall, room L126, this coming Friday, June 15, 2012, 2:30pm, exactly on the closing of De La Salle University’s Centennial Celebration.

The notes from his lecture can be requested from the De La Salle Mathematics Department, at room J201. Dr. Nandram will also discuss his most recent paper on June 22, 2012.

To know more about the esteemed Dr. Balgobin Nandram, visit his page at Worchester Polytechnic Institute.

Inhumanitarianism

October 16–a video of a street surveillance camera in Foshan, Guangdong Province China taken last October 13, 2011 was posted on YouTube. The video shows how a two-year-old child, Yue Yue, who was walking on the street got run over twice. Other clips included in this video show pedestrians and passersby not doing anything, and not even taking notice of the dying child on the street.

I have never seen such shitfuckery take place:

When a humble, old rag collector took notice of the poor child on the street, she tried to ask for help, but was told by people to mind her own business. According to the details written on the video,

“ The riders of four electric bicycles, a tricycle and three passers-by all chose to ignore her and no one at a shop close to the scene came to her aid.”

Photo by SINA Weibo

In a nation where survival is harsh and people are plentiful, I suppose it’s no wonder why they no longer care if one dies, especially a child with no capabilities of contributing much of anything to the nation. Is this really the price of progress? Is this what globalism has driven us to become? Have we turned into a race of unfeeling, apathetic, inhumane people?

Yue Yue, pronounced brain dead. Photo by SINA Weibo.

According to a news update reported yesterday, October 17, the child has died of severe brain injuries. The guilty driver has been detained, at least. But the driver of the truck that also ran her over is still to be identified.

The first driver admitted this over a telephone interview with the media:

 ”If she is dead, I may pay only about 20,000 yuan ($3,125). But if she is injured, it may cost me hundreds of thousands yuan.”

If our race is incapable of giving up their personal interests for the welfare of others, then we have no chance of survival altogether. To murder, and think only of the monetary consequences upon yourself, and not the consequences brought on by the death of another–that is truly selfish.

Our brains are being consumed by little crabs, forming a mentality that leads us to push others behind for the sake of reaching the top. Self-preservation, they say. Such a glorified way of calling apathy, ignorance, indifference and the overall absence of compassion and solidarity with others.

What is the point of surviving, when you’ve killed everyone else in the process? We live not for ourselves, but we live for others. Man is a naturally relational being, and partly depends on others to have worth. If we do not give value and acknowledge the worth of other people, then who are we? What is left of us but nothing?

Angry Tweets

Plenty of people now claim that sarcasm is a language which they fluently speak. On social networking sites and perhaps on any informal online bio-data where “language” is part of the queries, it is no longer surprising to find people who set “Sarcasm” as their mother tongue.

Anyone who says they are fluent with sarcasm not only uses it, but knows how to distinguish it and even appreciate it at times.

The recent entry Sir Stewart wrote for So What’s News? on WordPress managed to deface so many hypocrites who thought they can handle the tongue of the trade.

After the controversial Anti-Planking Act of 2011, proposed by Winnie Castello, got such a huge online buzz, even trending on Twitter in the Philippines and Worldwide (ah, such great shame was bestowed upon the country that day), So What’s News, a blog of societal satire, published an article to mock the waste of time the congress was troubling about. In a piece of fake news, he stated that Castello, the same congressman, passed another bill that was more stupid than the first. It was called the “Anti-Angry Birds Bill.

Shortly after it was published on his blog, the “news” spread like wildfire on social networking sites, bringing about a huge surge of aggravated readers, angrily commenting about how stupid the government is, and basically CAPSLOCKING the congress to death. And although it could sometimes be funny to see a person or two not get the joke, be fooled by a piece of satire, it easily grew annoying as so many had apparently believed the hoax, even to the point of once again having it trend on Twitter.

And although I believe that Stewart was delightfully amused at the publicity he’s gotten for his humble blog—and undoubtedly, I am happy for him too—I am utterly disgusted by how gullible Filipinos are nowadays.

First of all, it really does say there that all posts on the blog were satirical pieces. Next to that, there was this fake picture of protesters with placards displaying images of Angry Birds, and another of the congress with the character illustration of the game flashed on their screen. Besides, an Anti-Angry Birds Bill? Who would even believe that?

Next to that, a lot of the people who are so angry and so concerned about how the congress was not focusing on the more important issues were obviously the ones who didn’t even bother to read the blog. They just saw someone else’s tweet or status update, and automatically chimed in with the choir of angry townsmen, complete with virtual pitchforks and torches.

I guess you can say this comes from a culture of blatant overuse of copy-pasting sources from Wikipedia, and the preference of online source materials over actual books and periodicals. Now people are gullible enough to believe in blogs. That, or they’ve just grown too lazy or stupid to analyze if the source material is even authentic. I’m hoping none of them are vying to become future journalists, historians, researchers, scientists and textbook writers.

It is truly depressing to know that an entire generation depends on social networking to be socially aware.

Nobody reads the real news anymore. Everyone just plainly doesn’t care. We’ve all grown too apathetic to the real happenings in society, and too absorbed in how Josh dated Stacy after she broke up with Mark for cheating on her with Tina. Or something like that.

They don’t care about society anymore. But once they’ve seen something like “Anti-Angry Birds Bill” trending on Twitter, they’d all be fired up about how there are so many more problems in society that have to be fixed. They speak like they know plenty.

Other than the apparent fact that societal apathy has numbed out and dumbed down the general population, the other thing that got me miffed was how, after finding out that the post was a joke, they often got angry or said that “political satire isn’t nice.” Or that news shouldn’t be faked. Or that it was misleading.

The only people who don’t appreciate political satire and societal jokes in general are the ones who were fooled by it, or those who don’t understand it. In fact, some of the best pieces in literature that contributed and ultimately inspired movements towards societal change were political satire. Jonathan Swift’s classic novel Gullver’s Travels compared politics and the process for bequeathing of authority in governments with a game where people had to jump over a stick to become the next leader. My personal favorite, George Orwell’s Animal Farm compared politics in totalitarian governments with animals, putting play on the famous saying “man is a political animal.”

Also, dear Philippines, let’s not forget. During the time of Marcos’ Martial Law, when freedom of speech was suspended, the people had to turn to political satire to express their wishes to return to democracy. Without political satire, we might all be polishing Imelda’s shoes and beading her terno’s.

Tons of websites dedicated to fake news are up online. And we all love to laugh about their improbable reports. The Onion, for one, is a general favorite.

So What’s News?’s posts were tasteful and hilarious. “Anti-Planking? Castello’s such a joke, haha, what’s he going to ban next? Oh, I know! Angry birds!” It wasn’t offensive–well, it was meant to slightly offend, but only up to an extent–it was clean, to the point, and came across as news we’d so love to hate.

It was a joke. And a pretty good one at that. Anyone who didn’t get that just didn’t know how to read.